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Prediction and Predictability in the Atmosphere and Oceans >> Content Detail



Study Materials



Readings

Grassberger, P., and I. Procaccia. "Characterization of Strange Attractors." Physical Review Letters 50, no. 5 (1983): 346-349.

Sauer, T., J. A. Yorke, and M. Casdagli. "Embedology." Journal of Statistical Physics 65 (1991): 579.

Ziehmann, C., L. A. Smith, and J. Kurths. "Localized Lyapunov Exponents and the Prediction of Predictability." Physics Letters A 4 (2000): 237-251.

Smith, L. A., C. Ziehmann, and K. Fraedrich. "Uncertainty Dynamics and Predictability in Chaotic Systems." Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 125 (1999): 2855-2886.

Gilmour, I., L. A. Smith, and R. Buizza. "Linear Regime Duration: Is 24 Hours a Long Time in Synoptic Weather Forecasting?" Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 58 (2001): 3525-3539.

Epstein, E. S. "Stochastic Dynamic Prediction." Tellus 21, no. 6 (1969): 739-759.

Sivillo, J. K., J. E. Ahlquist, and Z. Toth. "An Ensemble Forecasting Primer." Weather and Forecasting 12 (1997): 809-818.

Murphy, A. H. "What Is a Good Forecast? An Essay on the Nature of Goodness in Weather Forecasting." Weather and Forecasting 8 (1993): 281-293.

Talagrand, O. "Assimilation of Observations, an Introduction." Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan 75, no. 1B (1997): 191-209.

Whitaker, J. S., and T. M. Hamill. "Ensemble Data Assimilation without Perturbed Observations." Monthly Weather Review 130 (2002): 1913-1924.

Hamill, Thomas M. "Ensemble-based Data Assimilation: A Review." University of Colorado and NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, Colorado, USA, 14 February 2003.


 








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